Estrella San Agustín vs UD Rinconada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CDP
2 - 2
EST
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EST
2 - 1
PIL
41%
25%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LCF
4 - 0
EST
64%
21%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EST
0 - 1
ROC
17%
23%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Rinconada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDR
3 - 1
UDB
21%
21%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UDR
1 - 0
CDP
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PIL
4 - 0
UDR
53%
22%
25%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UDR
0 - 1
LCF
27%
22%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
2 - 1
UDR
81%
13%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |