Estrella San Agustín vs Puebla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
MAI
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 2
EST
48%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MSQ
1 - 3
EST
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Puebla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 2
DHM
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 0
PUE
52%
23%
24%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
ARH
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 1
PUE
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
3 - 0
MOR
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |