Estrella San Agustín vs Mairena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
VEN
1 - 0
EST
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
IBA
61%
21%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
OSU
1 - 0
EST
53%
23%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CDP
1 - 1
MAI
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 1
VEN
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
MAI
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
IBA
2 - 3
MAI
22%
24%
53%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | +1 |