Estrella San Agustín vs A. Cerro Águila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VEN
3 - 2
EST
57%
22%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
CAM
36%
24%
40%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
EST
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
OSU
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAI
1 - 0
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 1
UDR
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CDP
1 - 1
SOL
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 0
PIL
70%
18%
13%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LCF
1 - 1
SOL
40%
25%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
0 - 3
ROC
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |