Estrella San Agustín vs Arahal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
EST
2 - 2
ROC
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 3
EST
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
PUE
61%
21%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 1
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 2
MAI
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
DHM
5 - 0
ARH
75%
14%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARH
2 - 0
TOR
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
ARH
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ROC
1 - 0
ARH
61%
21%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ARH
3 - 1
MOR
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |