Estrella vs Villa Santa Brígida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
47
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
UDG
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
LOM
0 - 4
EST
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EST
8 - 2
TAR
85%
10%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
EST
2 - 0
LOM
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
LON
0 - 7
EST
4%
11%
85%
|
22 | 6 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Santa Brígida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
CDT
4 - 0
VSB
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 4
VSB
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 5
VSB
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
VSB
2 - 0
ARU
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
UNV
0 - 3
VSB
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |