Estrella vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIC
0 - 1
EST
33%
27%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
EST
4 - 1
UDI
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VSB
3 - 2
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
LAN
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
VEC
1 - 0
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
REA
2 - 0
TEL
21%
24%
55%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SDT
3 - 0
REA
74%
17%
9%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
RSI
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 2
REA
72%
18%
9%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
REA
2 - 3
COT
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |