Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Estrella vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 3
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
EST
5 - 1
UDT
79%
15%
6%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 4
EST
20%
25%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CDM
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VSB
3 - 2
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 3
MAR
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 0
PIN
89%
9%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
PLU
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |