Estrella vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
EST
55%
24%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
UNV
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EST
0 - 4
COT
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VSB
2 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CSU
3 - 0
UPR
49%
25%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PAN
3 - 2
CSU
46%
23%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CSU
2 - 1
YAI
38%
27%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
CSU
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CSU
0 - 1
UDI
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |