Estrella vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EST
2 - 2
CDB
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 0
EST
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
SDT
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
UPR
2 - 0
ARU
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARU
2 - 1
PAN
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
YAI
4 - 0
ARU
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ARU
2 - 1
CDT
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UDI
2 - 0
ARU
57%
22%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |