Estrela Vendas Novas vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
EVN
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
EVN
1 - 3
ORI
24%
25%
52%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 1
EVN
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
EVN
2 - 0
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
EVN
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 3
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOU
4 - 1
MOU
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 5
ORI
22%
24%
54%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAT
2 - 0
MOU
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |