Estrela Vendas Novas vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
EVN
70%
19%
12%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 2
PIN
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
EVN
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
MAF
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
EVN
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
1DE
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOU
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 1
TOU
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
LOU
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |