Estrela Vendas Novas vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GIE
1 - 1
EVN
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 8 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EVN
4 - 3
CAN
85%
10%
5%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EVN
7 - 0
MON
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SSR
1 - 4
EVN
10%
16%
74%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
EVN
2 - 0
AGU
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
IDE
2 - 1
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
IDE
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
2 - 2
IDE
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 4
IDE
12%
17%
71%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | +1 |