Estrela Vendas Novas vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
6 - 0
EVN
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 1
ORI
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAR
7 - 1
EVN
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
EVN
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EVN
1 - 0
IDE
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AMO
2 - 3
FAR
13%
19%
67%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FAR
1 - 2
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
FAR
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FAR
7 - 1
EVN
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FAR
4 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |