Capixaba Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
EST
1 - 0
VFC
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
19%
20%
61%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
DES
45%
27%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
EST
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 5
VIT
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 1
REM
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
VIT
41%
23%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |