Estrela do Norte vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela do Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 1
EST
74%
18%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DES
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
DES
40%
28%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 0
VFC
80%
13%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
NVE
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
NVE
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NVE
3 - 1
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |