CF Estrela Amadora vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 2
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
RIO
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 0
EST
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAV
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
VST
2 - 4
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VST
1 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
VST
1 - 2
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |