CF Estrela Amadora vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
BMA
2 - 0
EST
39%
31%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
EST
4 - 0
SPB
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
TIR
3 - 1
EST
42%
30%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
EST
4 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
BOA
2 - 1
EST
62%
24%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
UNM
3 - 3
VIT
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
CHA
5 - 1
UNM
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
UNM
2 - 0
GFC
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
FCP
3 - 0
UNM
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |