CF Estrela Amadora vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
EST
1 - 1
BOA
23%
28%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
EST
4 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 3
FCP
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
NAV
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 0
NAV
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
NAV
0 - 0
PAÇ
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
FEI
1 - 2
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |