CF Estrela Amadora vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
EST
3 - 1
FEL
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
LEC
3 - 1
EST
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
5 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
EST
1 - 1
MAI
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
4 - 0
FEL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 1
NAV
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
3 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ACA
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |