CF Estrela Amadora vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
EST
4 - 1
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
VST
40%
28%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
EST
2 - 0
LEX
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
NAC
49%
28%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
ACA
1 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 0
BOA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |