Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
CF Estrela Amadora vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
EST
5 - 2
GFC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
BMA
2 - 1
EST
46%
30%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
LIE
2 - 0
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
EST
0 - 2
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
KSV
1 - 0
LIE
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
LIE
2 - 0
EST
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
LIE
2 - 0
BEE
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
SDL
2 - 2
LIE
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
LIE
2 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |