Estrela Amadora vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
EST
2 - 2
BEL
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 0
SPB
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
GFC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
GFC
1 - 2
RIO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 0
GFC
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2004 |
BMA
1 - 1
GFC
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |