Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 2-3
CF Estrela Amadora vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
EST
0 - 2
PAÇ
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
69%
21%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
59%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
EST
70%
21%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 2
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 1
MUD
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 0
EST
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 2
FCP
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |