CF Estrela Amadora vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
OVA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 1
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MAI
0 - 0
FCM
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 0
FEL
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
POR
5 - 1
FCM
63%
20%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FCM
2 - 1
PEN
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |