CF Estrela Amadora vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
BMA
0 - 0
EST
35%
29%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
EST
1 - 0
RIO
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
EST
1 - 0
CAM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
SCP
3 - 0
EST
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
FAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
24%
60%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
ACA
2 - 1
FAR
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
FAR
2 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1998 |
VST
1 - 1
FAR
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1998 |
FAR
1 - 0
SLB
15%
23%
61%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |