CF Estrela Amadora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
UDL
4 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
EST
1 - 4
SCP
14%
21%
66%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
BOA
19%
27%
54%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
75%
17%
9%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
MFK
0 - 2
SLB
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |