CF Estrela Amadora vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
EST
0 - 3
SLB
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
UDL
4 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
EST
1 - 4
SCP
14%
21%
66%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 0
SAN
89%
9%
2%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 2
PAÇ
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
RIO
4 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |