CF Estrela Amadora vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 0
CHA
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
FAR
1 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
EST
0 - 5
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
EST
1 - 1
UNM
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ALV
4 - 0
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MAI
0 - 1
ALV
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ALV
2 - 1
OVA
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
ALV
3 - 1
FEL
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
POR
0 - 1
ALV
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |