Estrela Amadora U23 vs Mafra U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
14º
6º
4
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 27 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 27 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 24 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 23 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 21 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 20 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 15 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 11 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
30% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 91.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
EST
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAR
42%
26%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
EST
0 - 4
BES
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mafra U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 1
FAR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
MAF
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 0
SPO
21%
24%
56%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +5 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
EST
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FAR
3 - 2
MAF
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |