Estrela Amadora U23 vs Estoril U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
8º
30
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Amadora U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
GIL
3 - 3
EST
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
BES
2 - 2
EST
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
FAM
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
VIZ
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
VIZ
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
EST
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
EST
1 - 2
GIL
64%
19%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |