Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
SAL
4 - 1
EST
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
EST
2 - 1
PAÇ
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
EST
1 - 1
FAM
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
VST
3 - 3
FCP
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
BOA
1 - 0
VST
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
VST
1 - 0
VIT
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
GFC
2 - 1
VST
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
VST
2 - 3
UNM
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |