Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
29.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SLB
4 - 1
EST
85%
10%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
VAR
47%
30%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
EST
1 - 1
ESP
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
VST
1 - 0
UDL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
FCP
3 - 1
VST
84%
11%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
VST
2 - 0
RIO
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |