Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
EST
2 - 0
ACA
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 2
EST
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ACA
4 - 2
VST
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
POR
1 - 1
VST
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |