Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 4
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
BMA
2 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
EST
2 - 0
LEX
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
VST
3 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BMA
4 - 2
VST
34%
32%
34%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
VST
4 - 1
LEX
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
BOA
2 - 1
VST
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |