Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
14.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
SCP
5 - 1
EST
80%
11%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LUS
4 - 1
EST
14%
18%
69%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
EST
1 - 1
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
OEL
1 - 2
EST
31%
21%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
VST
4 - 2
LUS
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
VIT
4 - 2
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
OEL
4 - 2
VST
57%
19%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
VST
3 - 2
ACA
62%
18%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 1
VST
84%
10%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |