Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
4.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
+1
13.3%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.9%
5.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 2
EST
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
EST
2 - 0
BEL
49%
21%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
OLH
2 - 7
EST
35%
21%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
EST
6 - 1
SPB
79%
12%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
BOA
1 - 2
EST
25%
20%
56%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
VST
0 - 1
SCP
16%
18%
67%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ATL
5 - 1
VST
63%
18%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
VST
3 - 1
VIT
48%
22%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
6 - 1
VST
84%
10%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
VST
2 - 1
SPC
65%
18%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |