Estoril vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.5%
12.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 5
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1947 |
EST
6 - 1
ACA
77%
12%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
SCP
5 - 0
EST
88%
7%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
ATL
3 - 4
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
BOA
4 - 0
VST
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1947 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
80%
11%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
VST
7 - 0
SLE
58%
19%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 0
VST
57%
18%
25%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |