Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
EST
6%
16%
78%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
EST
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
SCP
4 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EST
2 - 0
MOR
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
IRI
1 - 2
VIT
3%
8%
90%
|
77 | 20 | 57 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
58%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |