Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
EST
1 - 2
TRO
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FEI
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
LEX
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
FEI
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LEX
0 - 2
VIT
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
SAN
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GFC
1 - 1
VIT
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |