Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
EST
1 - 0
SAL
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
EST
4 - 2
VAR
44%
31%
25%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
PEN
2 - 0
EST
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VIT
2 - 1
RIO
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
VIT
0 - 0
RIO
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
VST
2 - 0
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
VIT
0 - 2
POR
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |