Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
36.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
SAL
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
BOA
43%
31%
26%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VST
1 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
VIT
1 - 1
BOA
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
ESP
0 - 0
VIT
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |