Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
39.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
UDL
2 - 1
EST
54%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
EST
2 - 1
POR
42%
32%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
EST
1 - 0
BOA
30%
32%
38%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VIT
4 - 0
AMO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIT
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
VIT
2 - 0
POR
61%
24%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |