Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SLB
6 - 1
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VST
0 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
VIT
1 - 0
SPB
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1977 |
SCP
3 - 2
VIT
75%
16%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
VIT
5 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
CDM
1 - 0
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |