Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
ACA
4 - 1
EST
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
BEL
4 - 3
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
EST
3 - 1
ORI
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
VST
3 - 2
EST
41%
23%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
EST
5 - 0
SPC
76%
13%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
ORI
1 - 1
VIT
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1950 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
SPC
6 - 3
VIT
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |