Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.7%
9.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
88%
7%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
EST
5 - 4
ATL
69%
15%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
LUS
1 - 1
EST
19%
19%
62%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
EST
8 - 0
VST
74%
14%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 5
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
60%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 2
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1947 |
VIT
0 - 1
BEL
29%
23%
48%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 3
SLE
60%
17%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |