Estoril vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
FCP
2 - 1
EST
77%
12%
11%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
EST
6 - 3
SLB
16%
18%
65%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
VIT
2 - 5
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
BOA
1 - 2
VIT
58%
19%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
SCP
5 - 1
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
VIT
5 - 0
POR
53%
20%
27%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |