Estoril vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VIZ
1 - 0
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
EST
3 - 1
SPC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GFC
2 - 2
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
GON
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 3
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GON
2 - 1
VAR
44%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 0
VAR
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 1
SCF
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |