Estoril vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
30%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
23.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 0
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
EST
1 - 1
ESP
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
MAR
3 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
EST
0 - 0
BEL
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
VAR
52%
28%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
SCP
3 - 0
VAR
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
VAR
4 - 2
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
19%
27%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |