Estoril vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
EST
3 - 1
SPB
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
SCP
5 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
CDM
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
POR
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
SCP
1 - 1
VAR
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 1
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |